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This edition of the 5-slide series conveys four data tabulations: 1) distribution of COVID deaths by age; 2) distribution of COVID deaths by gender within each age cohort; 3) county level tabulations on new case growth; and 4) a set of state level statistics on confirmed cases and deaths.

Key findings from this edition, which tabulates monthly cases and deaths by state, are summarized below:

– We expect that more COVID deaths will occur in December than in any prior month in the US overall and in 33 states. December’s new COVID cases are at record highs nationally and in 35 states.
– The 3,400 new COVID deaths reported on December 16, are nearly 200 above the next-highest day the US has experienced to date.
– One positive development is that the percentage of monthly new cases resulting in death is far lower in more recent months (approximately 1%) than was the case during April and May (approximately 6%).
– Multiple points of research, including data we present herein, compellingly demonstrate that overall deaths in the USA during 2020 are far higher than occurred during 2019.

This edition of our 5-slide series quantifies– in numerous ways– the disturbing resurgence of COVID-19. In 46 states, for example, the number of new cases emerging during June 23-30 surpassed the number from the prior week. The number of new COVID deaths this past week were 50% above the fatalities during the previous week.

Our tabulations are provided at the national and state levels (including US Territories), and we’ve also identified the 20 counties with the largest increase in new cases this past week relative to the previous week.

This edition of the 5-slide series has multiple components. We have grouped all counties (and states) into cohorts based on their overall population per square mile, to quantify the relationship between population density and COVID cases per capita. As one would expect, COVID has spread much more rapidly in higher-density population areas, with the per capita rate of infection through May 27 more than 3 times higher in our most dense population cohort (counties with more than 1,000 residents per square mile) than in our most sparsely populated cohort counties with fewer than 50 residents per square mile). Interestingly and perhaps importantly, the recent rate of new case growth is highest across the most sparsely populated counties – the number of new cases this past week was 10% lower than in the previous week across the nation’s most densely populated counties, but 6% higher across the most sparsely populated counties.