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5-Slide Series

This edition of the 5 Slide Series tabulates new tests, cases, and deaths per 100,000 population at a state level to examine how the COVID-19 pandemic has shifted September 1- 15 versus August 1 – 15. Nationally, trends have mostly moved in a favorable direction. During the first half of September relative to the first half of August, confirmed cases and deaths have decreased by more than 20%, and positive tests as a percent of all administered tests during each timeframe have decreased from 7.1% to 5.2%. However, several states have trended in an adverse direction and reported an increase in new cases, deaths, and positive tests September 1 – 15 versus August 1 – 15.

5-Slide Series

This 5 Slide Series edition tracks COVID-19 trends in various ways, such as the weekly progression of cases and deaths throughout the past three months. We’ve also captured week-to-week COVID-19 testing trends on a national basis. The number of new tests per week has nearly tripled since the beginning of April, but only two states have tested more than 10% of their population to date.

5-Slide Series

This edition’s COVID analytical focus has been on tabulating the weekly percentage increase in new tests relative to the weekly progression of new cases. Comparing June 17-24 with June 10-17, tests increased by 6% but new cases jumped up by 34%. This suggests that a very large disease spread is now occurring — far beyond the dynamic that more tests are identifying more underlying cases.

We also show that nursing home residents accounted for 26% of COVID deaths through June 7, and that 70% of the US population resides in a county where the number of new cases increased more this week versus during the previous week.

5-Slide Series

This edition of the 5 slide series contains our tabulations of this week’s COVID progression. By all key measures, this has been a troubling week in terms of the pandemic worsening. New deaths were 22% higher in the week of July 8-15 versus those occurring from July 1-8. The number of persons hospitalized as of July 15 was 22% above the July 8 figure. New cases increased 20% this week relative to the prior week’s volume. Testing volume increased by 15%. The rate of tests with a positive result has increased further this past week (to 8.5%). The progression of these nationwide statistics across the past several weeks is shown in the presentation.

5-Slide Series

This edition conveys our tabulations on the recent week’s COVID developments. A key finding is that while new cases decreased by 3% nationwide this past week relative to the prior week, more than half the nation’s population resides in a county where the number of new confirmed cases increased. A more encouraging finding is that while nearly 10,000 new COVID deaths occurred this past week, this figure was 5,246 lower than the previous week’s new death count.

We have also provided testing data for each state. Nationwide, less than 4% of the population has been tested as of May 20; state-level figures range from a high of 11.4% in Rhode Island to a low of 2.2% in Idaho.

5-Slide Series

The May edition outlines a pilot program we encourage Medicare policymakers to adopt. It involves testing Medicaid’s key design features in the Medicare arena, which if successful could evolve into a fundamental transformation of Medicare as has occurred with Medicaid (whose transformation also began with pilot testing of this approach). We will be releasing a full paper on this framework with a couple months.

5-Slide Series

Today’s edition frames how the USA’s COVID death rate compares with other highly developed countries (our death rate is 78% higher). We also portray each state’s weekly progression of COVID tests, cases, and deaths through the month of July. July has been a disappointing “step backwards” month in the USA overall and especially so in many states. Nationwide, we experienced nearly twice as many COVID deaths this past week as occurred during the first week of July.

5-Slide Series

This week’s edition of the 5 Slide Series tracks recent COVID-19 trends. We have summarized the weekly progression of cases, tests, and deaths through July 8 at the national, state, and county levels. 72% of the US population resides in a county where the number of new cases increased during the week of July 1 – July 8 relative to the previous seven-day period.

5-Slide Series

This edition of our 5 Slide Series is our 20th special edition focusing on the COVID-19 pandemic. As with all prior editions, we have tabulated several highly current data points. The newest type of analysis involves quantifying differences in COVID death rates per capita by race, showing that through June 7, African Americans have experienced more than twice the COVID-19 per capita death rate as Whites, Latinos, and Asians. We also provide various statistics regarding new confirmed cases and tests, nationally and state-by-state – including state rankings on the degree to which new confirmed cases have emerged in the past week.

5-Slide Series

This edition shows the sharp trajectory of confirmed COVID-19 cases by state across the past few days. Between March 17 and March 19 there were more new confirmed cases in the USA and more attributed deaths than in all previous days combined. Confirmed cases and available testing statistics are also shown on a per capita basis.

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